16-05-2021, 03:27 PM
(16-05-2021, 01:56 PM)Sabricadabra Wrote:(15-05-2021, 08:15 PM)stirred Wrote:(14-05-2021, 03:16 PM)Sniffer Dog Wrote:(14-05-2021, 08:17 AM)Sabricadabra Wrote:(13-05-2021, 03:18 PM)Liars Bar Wrote: We are currently 4th favourites for promotion next season with Sky Bet.
That’ll be because of the manager. I heard them discuss next season on Talk Sport and the consensus was that with Hughton at the helm we’d be up there.
:D
Maybe we were 4th - I just looked and we're 5th favourite - but more importantly it doesn't include anyone in the play-offs. So we wouldn't be 4th or 5th once the teams in the play-offs who don't go up are included.
In any case, we're a club with a decent squad and expected significant financial backing from the owner, that will all be included in estimating odds. You could just as much argue it is because we have a good squad as a good manager, but in reality you shouldn't read much into it at all.
Our wage bill isn’t top 6. While ever FFP is in place the club’s income won’t be top 6. For a club of average means like Forest to be favourites for top 6 other factors than squad quality and finances must be seen as giving us an advantage above and beyond what’s expected. It may also be that we are seen as well run and stable, but having a manager who tends to finish in the top 6 is the stand out factor imo.
Forget that you think you're in some sort of argument about the manager - aside from your subjective claim I was correcting the factual / contextual distortions.
We are 5th favourite on SkyBet and that doesn't include any of the current play-off teams => Brentford, Swansea & Bournemouth would all likely be shorter odds than us if they don't go up, and at least 2 of them won't. So probably 7th or 8th favourites ie we are not favourites for top 6.