Nottingham Forest - Huddersfield Town - Play Off Final

[Mcforest]

what it means is that they should only score 1.17 goal on average a game but they score more than the chance creation and quality of chance suggests at 1.38. Also that teams who play against them don't score the chances they should.

So Fulham
Expected xg is 2.07
Actual xg is 2.3
Expected xg against 1.11
Actual xg against is 0.93

Then Say Norwich
Expected xg is 0.94
Actual 0.61
Expected xg against 1.99
Actual 2.21

So you can see top teams score more than the chances and quality of that chance suggest and lower team create less and miss more or their quality chances.